polymarket-analysis

Polymarket Analysis

Identify trading advantages in Polymarket prediction markets through multi-modal analysis.

Scope: Analysis and opportunity identification only. No trade execution.

Modes

Mode	Description	Reference
Analyze	One-time market analysis	This file
Monitor	24/7 market monitoring	references/market-monitoring-setup.md
Profile	Track user wallet positions	scripts/fetch-polymarket-user-profile.py

Scripts

# Monitor market for alerts
python3 scripts/monitor-polymarket-market.py <market_url_or_id>

# Fetch user profile/positions
python3 scripts/fetch-polymarket-user-profile.py <wallet_address> [--trades] [--pnl]

Quick Start

Market Analysis

1. Get market URL from user
2. Fetch via https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?slug={slug}
3. Run multi-strategy analysis

User Profile

# From profile URL: polymarket.com/profile/0x...
python3 scripts/fetch-polymarket-user-profile.py 0x7845bc5e15bc9c41be5ac0725e68a16ec02b51b5

Core Strategies

Strategy	Description	Reference
Pair Cost Arbitrage	YES+NO < $1.00	references/pair-cost-arbitrage.md
Momentum	RSI, MA signals	references/momentum-analysis.md
Whale Tracking	Large trades	references/whale-tracking.md
Sentiment	News/social	references/sentiment-analysis.md

Alert Thresholds

Event	Threshold
Price change	±5% in 1h
Large trade	>$5,000
Pair cost	<$0.98
Volume spike	>2x avg

APIs

API	Base URL	Use
Gamma	gamma-api.polymarket.com	Markets, prices
Data	data-api.polymarket.com	User positions, trades, P&L
CLOB	clob.polymarket.com	Order books, trading

See references/polymarket-api.md for full endpoint reference.

References

• references/polymarket-api.md - API endpoints (Gamma, Data, CLOB)
• references/market-monitoring-setup.md - 24/7 cron monitoring
• references/pair-cost-arbitrage.md - Arbitrage detection
• references/momentum-analysis.md - Technical analysis
• references/whale-tracking.md - Smart money tracking
• references/sentiment-analysis.md - Sentiment aggregation